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KuPS vs TPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS Logo

KuPS

1 - 1
FT
TPS Logo

TPS

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Luyeye-Lutumba J.
44'
Anini S.
46'
Sub
Touray S. In: Jyry T.
Out: Touray S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between KuPS and TPS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
KuPS
35%
Draws
24%
TPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS come out ahead of TPS on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on KuPS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
KuPS Clean Sheet 68%
TPS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS TPS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
1:1
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs KuPS
1:2
Nov 4, 2020 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs KuPS
3:2
Aug 29, 2020 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
3:1
Oct 21, 2018 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs TPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Luyeye-Lutumba J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Veinbergs N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 77 / 100
TPS 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS TPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: TPS conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

KuPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS TPS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

TPS

(Away)
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)