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KuPS W vs HJK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

0 - 1
FT
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Holmstrom I.
Assist: Kamogawa M.
46'
Sub
Bethea L. In: Topra J.
Out: Bethea L.
46'
Sub
Pulkkanen A. In: Hahl N.
Out: Pulkkanen A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KuPS W
20%
Draws
34%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS W haven't matched HJK W's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 16%
HJK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W HJK W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 25
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Aug 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmstrom I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 36 / 100
HJK W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KuPS W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: HJK W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: KuPS W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS HJK W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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HJK W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)