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KuPS W vs Ilves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

2 - 1
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Makipelkola E.
Assist: Juusela N.
40'
Rochi G.
44' Event
Rasinen A.
Assist: Heinonen I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KuPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KuPS W
30%
Draws
23%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on KuPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 16%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Ilves W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
3:3
Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:4
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Makipelkola E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rochi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasinen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 84 / 100
Ilves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KuPS W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: KuPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Ilves W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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Ilves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)