Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS W host Ilves W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: KuPS W at 2.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Ilves W at 1.75 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor KuPS W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward KuPS W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
KuPS W
44%
Draws
20%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 16%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Ilves W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:4
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
8:0
Aug 3, 2024 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 36 / 100
Ilves W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KuPS W scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: KuPS W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Ilves W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
Page 1 of 7

Ilves W

(Away)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
27 Jun
Ilves W
1 : 3
HJK W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)