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Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
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Match Events

11'
Trei M.
16' Event
Palu R.
17' Event
Zilmer K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Kuressaare U21 and Nomme Utd U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kuressaare U21
15%
Draws
85%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nomme Utd U21 come out ahead of Kuressaare U21 on wins alone.
  • Nomme Utd U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nomme Utd U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
0:3
Jun 30, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
May 3, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oispuu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Palu R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zilmer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare U21 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd U21 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nomme Utd U21
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare U21

(Home)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)