Sport Picks
Kuressaare vs Kose
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare 
Match Events
2'
2'
Suursaar M.
11'
11'
Kivi A.
22'
22'
Suursaar M.
AI Match Summary
Kuressaare in this Estonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 9-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kuressaare lately — more wins on the board than Kose.
- Kuressaare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kuressaare here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Kose |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 4.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2025 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Kuressaare
0:7
Sep 9, 2023 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Kose
9:1
Aug 4, 2009 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Kuressaare
0:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kuressaare Compare
Top Goalscorer Suursaar M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kivi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Kose Compare
Top Goalscorer Eerits K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.71
Avg xA / game 1.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 83 / 100
Kose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Kose
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kose conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 8.33 goals.
Kuressaare found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
Kuressaare has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS Kose
1 Goals Scored 4.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Kuressaare
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3 Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8 Kuressaare
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1 Tartu JK Welco 2
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0 Kalju
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3 Flora
Page 1 of 4
Kose
(Away) 12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5 Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0 Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7 Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6 Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5 Kose
09 Sept
Kuressaare
9 : 1 Kose
07 Jun
Sillamae Silmet
0 : 4 Kose
09 Jul
Tammeka Tartu
8 : 0 Kose
12 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 2 Kose
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2
