Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kuressaare vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Roivassepp G.
Assist: Talu R.
51' Event
Tambedou B.
Assist: Skvortsov M.
62'
Sub
Talu R. In: Leivategija M.
Out: Talu R.

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kuressaare
15%
Draws
39%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • Kuressaare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Levadia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.62 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Roivassepp G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ainsalu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 83 / 100
Levadia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kuressaare scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Levadia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kuressaare stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Levadia
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8
Kuressaare
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
02 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Kuressaare
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
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Levadia

(Away)
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2
Levadia
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Levadia
30 Jul
Levadia
1 : 3
IFK Goteborg
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 22 16 5 1 57:18 53
2 Kalju 23 13 5 5 43:18 44
3 Flora 21 13 0 8 42:24 39
4 Paide Linnameeskond 22 10 6 6 34:29 36
5 Tammeka Tartu 20 9 2 9 23:31 29
6 Parnu JK Vaprus 22 8 3 11 30:42 27
7 Nomme Utd 23 8 1 14 40:54 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 23 8 1 14 33:40 25
9 Kuressaare 23 7 3 13 25:38 24
10 Narva 23 5 2 16 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)