Sport Picks
Kuressaare vs Narva
Estonia
Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare 
Match Events
38'
38'
Velijev M.
41'
41'
Velijev M.
46'
46'
Sub
Skinjov A. In: Burjanadze S.
Out: Skinjov A.
AI Match Summary
The Meistriliiga game between Kuressaare and Narva finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kuressaare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kuressaare come out ahead of Narva on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Kuressaare taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 16%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Narva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Narva
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Kuressaare
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Narva
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Narva
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Kuressaare
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 48 / 100
Narva 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Narva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kuressaare scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Narva has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Narva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS Narva
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1 Tartu JK Welco 2
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0 Kalju
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Kuressaare
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3 Flora
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1 Tartu JK Welco 2
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0 Kalju
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3 Flora
16 Jun
Kuressaare
0 : 0 Narva
20 May
Kuressaare
2 : 1 Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 3
Narva
(Away) 22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0 Narva
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3 Levadia
21 Jun
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Narva
Page 1 of 7
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0 Narva
21 Jun
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Narva
16 Jun
Kuressaare
0 : 0 Narva
30 May
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0 Narva
09 May
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 0 Narva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39:21 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:16 | 35 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:28 | 32 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28:38 | 26 |
| 6 | Tammeka Tartu | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 39:46 | 25 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Narva | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15:47 | 13 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
