Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Demidov E.
16'
Kabal G.
18' Event
Oostenbrink K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Kuressaare and Nomme Utd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kuressaare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kuressaare
6%
Draws
90%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 16%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Nomme Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
3:2
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
3:3
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nomme Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 10 / 100
Nomme Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kuressaare found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Kuressaare stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Nomme Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Kuressaare
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Flora
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Kuressaare
03 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Kalju
20 Jun
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 3
Nomme Utd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)