Sport Picks
Kuressaare vs Saku Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saku Sporting haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
- Model gives Saku Sporting a 48% chance of winning this.
- Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Saku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Saku Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 21 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 3.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.96 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Saku Sporting
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 10 / 100
Saku Sporting 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Saku Sporting
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saku Sporting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saku Sporting has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Kuressaare scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Kuressaare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS Saku Sporting
2.25 Goals Scored 3.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 3
Saku Sporting
(Away) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1 Legion
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
Page 1 of 5
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Saku Sporting
14 Feb
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3 Saku Sporting
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
