Sport Picks

Kuressaare vs Tartu JK Welco 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia

Estonian Cup Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare

Kuressaare

5 - 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Kuressaare

15%

Draws

Tartu JK Welco 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Tartu JK Welco 2 haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
85% — that's where the model lands on Kuressaare taking it.
Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Kuressaare Clean Sheet 20%

Tartu JK Welco 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kuressaare	Tartu JK Welco 2
Matches Played	28	5
Wins	11	0
Draws	5	0
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	1.64	1
Goals Conceded	1.46	5.8
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Estonian Cup

Kuressaare vs Tartu JK Welco 2

5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 85 / 100

Tartu JK Welco 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kuressaare Tartu JK Welco 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tartu JK Welco 2 conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tartu JK Welco 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kuressaare scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Tartu JK Welco 2

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 5

50% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)

11 Oct

Kuressaare

2 : 0

Flora

03 Oct

Kuressaare

4 : 2

Saku Sporting

18 Sept

Harju JK Laagri

0 : 0

Kuressaare

13 Sept

Kuressaare

1 : 3

Tammeka Tartu

09 Sept

Levadia

4 : 0

Kuressaare

Page 1 of 6

Tartu JK Welco 2

(Away)

23 Jul

Kuressaare

5 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

25 Jul

Tartu JK Welco 2

0 : 8

Narva

29 Jul

Tamper

3 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

26 Jul

Tartu JK Welco 2

2 : 3

Tartu Kalev

10 Jul

FC Alliance

10 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Flora -

TBD -

JK Arsenal 0

Tallinna Kalev U21 3

Rakvere FC Freedom 3

Kena JK 2

EstHam United -

TBD -

Kose 8

Kummik 0

Rumori Calcio II -

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Laanemaa Haapsalu -

TBD -

Jarva-Jaani 0

Elva 4

Arukula Vigri -

TBD -

Raasiku Joker -

Tammeka Tartu U19 -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tartu Kalev 4

Paide Linnameeskond III 3

TBD -

Kuusalu Kalev -

Narva 10

Vana Hea Puur 0

TBD -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

Marjamaa Kompanii -

TBD -

Generation Tallinn -

JK Poseidon -

TBD -

Helm 30

Deliirium 0

TBD -

Kalju -

Hiiumaa -

TBD -

Tulevik -

Nomme Utd -

TBD -

Raplamaa -

Johvi Phoenix 4

Elva III 2

TBD -

FC Hell Hunt -

Lahte United 1

Tabasalu Ulasabat 3

TBD -

Parnu JK Vaprus -

Kristiine -

TBD -

Jogeva Wolves -

Kuressaare -

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco 2 -

TransferWise -

TBD -

Olympic Tallinn -

Saku Sporting -

TBD -

Legion -

Kohvile -

TBD -

Rumori Calcio -

Tammeka Tartu -

TBD -

Zealot Sporting -

Tartu Helios -

TBD -

Soccernet -

Viimsi JK -

TBD -

Nomme Utd U19 -

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

Saue JK Laagri 6

Viimsi Lovid 0

TBD -

Harju JK Laagri U21 -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

Rae Spordikool -

Tallinna Wolves 0

Tabasalu 10

TBD -

Tamper -

Levadia -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

TalTech JK -

TBD -

Keila JK -

Flora U19 -

TBD -

Pohja-Tallinna -

1/32-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev U21 4

Rakvere FC Freedom 2

EstHam United 1

Kose 5

Rumori Calcio II 0

Tartu JK Welco 12

Laanemaa Haapsalu 0

Elva 6

Arukula Vigri 0

Raasiku Joker 1

Tammeka Tartu U19 0

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tartu Kalev 7

Kuusalu Kalev 0

Narva 1

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Marjamaa Kompanii 8

Generation Tallinn 4

JK Poseidon 3

Helm 2

TBD -

Kalju -

Hiiumaa 4

Tulevik 1

Nomme Utd 12

Raplamaa 0

Johvi Phoenix 8

FC Hell Hunt 1

Tabasalu Ulasabat 1

Parnu JK Vaprus 4

Kristiine 8

Jogeva Wolves 3

Kuressaare 5

Tartu JK Welco 2 1

TransferWise 3

Olympic Tallinn 6

Saku Sporting 2

Legion 1

Kohvile 1

Rumori Calcio 4

Tammeka Tartu 19

Zealot Sporting 0

Tartu Helios -

Soccernet -

Viimsi JK 4

Nomme Utd U19 0

FC Tallinn 4

Tallinna FC Zapoos 1

Saue JK Laagri 1

Harju JK Laagri U21 2

Harju JK Laagri 8

Rae Spordikool 0

Tabasalu 0

Tamper 2

Levadia -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

TalTech JK 0

Keila JK 6

Flora U19 6

Pohja-Tallinna 3

1/16-finals

Flora -

Tallinna Kalev U21 -

Kose 0

Tartu JK Welco 8

Elva -

Raasiku Joker -

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tartu Kalev 0

Narva 8

Marjamaa Kompanii 0

JK Poseidon 0

Kalju 12

Hiiumaa 0

Nomme Utd 2

Johvi Phoenix 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 5

Kristiine 0

Kuressaare 8

Olympic Tallinn 0

Saku Sporting 7

Rumori Calcio 0

Tammeka Tartu 1

Tartu Helios 1

Viimsi JK 4

FC Tallinn 5

Harju JK Laagri U21 0

Harju JK Laagri 3

Tamper 1

Levadia 4

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Keila JK 3

Flora U19 2

1/8-finals

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Elva 3

Tallinna Kalev 2

Narva 2

Kalju 0

Nomme Utd 3

Parnu JK Vaprus 2

Kuressaare 4

Saku Sporting 2

Tammeka Tartu 4

Viimsi JK 1

FC Tallinn 0

Harju JK Laagri 10

Levadia 10

Keila JK 0

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Kuressaare vs Tartu JK Welco 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia

Kuressaare

Tartu JK Welco 2

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

Tartu JK Welco 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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