Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare

Kuressaare

5 - 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Kuressaare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kuressaare

Draws

Tartu JK Welco 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tartu JK Welco 2 haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Kuressaare taking it.
Kuressaare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Kuressaare Clean Sheet 16%

Tartu JK Welco 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kuressaare	Tartu JK Welco 2
Matches Played	31	5
Wins	11	0
Draws	5	0
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Estonian Cup

Kuressaare vs Tartu JK Welco 2

5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 84 / 100

Tartu JK Welco 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kuressaare Tartu JK Welco 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tartu JK Welco 2 conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tartu JK Welco 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kuressaare scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Tartu JK Welco 2

1 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 5

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)

23 Jul

Kuressaare

5 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

19 Jul

Kuressaare

0 : 0

Kalju

11 Jul

Nomme Utd

3 : 2

Kuressaare

02 Jul

Kuressaare

0 : 3

Flora

26 Jun

Parnu JK Vaprus

1 : 0

Kuressaare

Page 1 of 7

Tartu JK Welco 2

(Away)

23 Jul

Kuressaare

5 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

25 Jul

Tartu JK Welco 2

0 : 8

Narva

29 Jul

Tamper

3 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

26 Jul

Tartu JK Welco 2

2 : 3

Tartu Kalev

10 Jul

FC Alliance

10 : 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Lahte United1

Tabasalu Ulasabat3

TBD-

Parnu JK Vaprus-

Johvi Phoenix4

Elva III2

TBD-

FC Hell Hunt-

Saue JK Laagri6

Viimsi Lovid0

TBD-

Harju JK Laagri U21-

EstHam United-

TBD-

Kose8

Kummik0

JK Poseidon-

TBD-

Helm30

Deliirium0

Tallinna Wolves0

Tabasalu10

TBD-

Tamper-

Kristiine-

TBD-

Jogeva Wolves-

Tammeka Tartu-

TBD-

Zealot Sporting-

Kohvile-

TBD-

Rumori Calcio-

Arukula Vigri-

TBD-

Raasiku Joker-

Viimsi JK-

TBD-

Nomme Utd U19-

Rumori Calcio II-

TBD-

Tartu JK Welco-

TalTech JK-

TBD-

Keila JK-

Harju JK Laagri-

TBD-

Rae Spordikool-

Tartu Kalev4

Paide Linnameeskond III3

TBD-

Kuusalu Kalev-

Tammeka Tartu U19-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev-

Tartu Helios-

TBD-

Soccernet-

JK Arsenal0

Tallinna Kalev U213

Rakvere FC Freedom3

Kena JK2

Kuressaare-

TBD-

Tartu JK Welco 2-

Nomme Utd-

TBD-

Raplamaa-

Narva10

Vana Hea Puur0

TBD-

Flora Tallinn U21-

Flora U19-

TBD-

Pohja-Tallinna-

Hiiumaa-

TBD-

Tulevik-

Saku Sporting-

TBD-

Legion-

Marjamaa Kompanii-

TBD-

Generation Tallinn-

TransferWise-

TBD-

Olympic Tallinn-

FC Tallinn-

TBD-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

Laanemaa Haapsalu-

TBD-

Jarva-Jaani0

Elva4

TBD-

1/32-finals

Tabasalu Ulasabat1

Parnu JK Vaprus4

Johvi Phoenix8

FC Hell Hunt1

Saue JK Laagri-

Harju JK Laagri U21-

EstHam United1

Kose5

JK Poseidon3

Helm2

Tabasalu0

Tamper2

Kristiine8

Jogeva Wolves3

Tammeka Tartu19

Zealot Sporting0

Kohvile1

Rumori Calcio4

Arukula Vigri0

Raasiku Joker1

Viimsi JK4

Nomme Utd U190

Rumori Calcio II5

Tartu JK Welco1

TalTech JK0

Keila JK6

Harju JK Laagri8

Rae Spordikool0

Tartu Kalev7

Kuusalu Kalev0

Tammeka Tartu U190

Tallinna Kalev8

Tartu Helios-

Soccernet-

Tallinna Kalev U214

Rakvere FC Freedom2

Kuressaare5

Tartu JK Welco 21

Nomme Utd12

Raplamaa0

Narva1

Flora Tallinn U210

Flora U19-

Pohja-Tallinna-

Hiiumaa4

Tulevik1

Saku Sporting-

Legion-

Marjamaa Kompanii8

Generation Tallinn4

TransferWise-

Olympic Tallinn-

FC Tallinn-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

Laanemaa Haapsalu0

Elva6

TBD-

1/16-finals

TBD-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Kuressaare vs Tartu JK Welco 2

Estonia

Kuressaare

Tartu JK Welco 2

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

Tartu JK Welco 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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