Sport Picks
Kuressaare vs Viljandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Meistriliiga 2012 
Match Events
7'
7'
Laht S.
22'
22'
Tsegodajev M.
26'
26'
Pajunurm M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Meistriliiga 2012 game between Kuressaare and Viljandi finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kuressaare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kuressaare come out ahead of Viljandi on wins alone.
- Model gives Kuressaare a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 20%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kuressaare | Viljandi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2012 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Viljandi
3:3
Jul 21, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Kuressaare
6:0
May 5, 2012 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Viljandi
0:0
Apr 14, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Kuressaare
3:1
Feb 14, 2012 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Viljandi
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kuressaare Compare
Top Goalscorer Viira S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tikerberi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Viljandi Compare
Top Goalscorer Laht S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tsegodajev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kuressaare 49 / 100
Viljandi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kuressaare Viljandi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Viljandi let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Kuressaare's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Kuressaare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kuressaare VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kuressaare
(Home) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
07 Aug
Kuressaare
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 4
Viljandi
(Away) 16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
: Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5 Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3 Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5 Narva
Page 1 of 6
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
: Viljandi
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3 Viljandi
06 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1 Viljandi
29 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0 Viljandi
18 Sept
Flora
5 : 0 Viljandi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kalju | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 106:17 | 92 |
| 2 | Levadia | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 85:22 | 83 |
| 3 | Flora | 36 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 87:24 | 81 |
| 4 | Narva | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 52:44 | 55 |
| 5 | Sillamae Kalev | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Paide Linnameeskond | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34:52 | 42 |
| 7 | Kuressaare | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 31:80 | 26 |
| 8 | Viljandi | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 33:88 | 26 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 27:87 | 21 |
| 10 | Tammeka Tartu | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 20 |
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2012 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
