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Kurilovec vs Istra 1961 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

2 - 1
FT
Istra 1961 Logo

Istra 1961

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Prsir M.
27' Event
Furmek D.
48'
Vujnovic F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Kurilovec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kurilovec
20%
Draws
38%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kurilovec haven't matched Istra 1961's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kurilovec's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Istra 1961 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Istra 1961, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Istra 1961
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Croatian Cup
Kurilovec vs Istra 1961
2:1
Sep 25, 2019 Croatian Cup
Kurilovec vs Istra 1961
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kurilovec Compare

Top Goalscorer Prsir M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Furmek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 56 / 100
Istra 1961 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kurilovec scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Istra 1961's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Kurilovec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Istra 1961
0 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 6

Istra 1961

(Away)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2