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Kurilovec vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

0 - 1
FT
Lucko Logo

Lucko

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Kurilovec and Lucko finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kurilovec
15%
Draws
26%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucko have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Kurilovec are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Kurilovec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Lucko
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Lucko
0:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Kurilovec
2:1
Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Kurilovec
1:2
Sep 5, 2020 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Lucko
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 83 / 100
Lucko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kurilovec scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Kurilovec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Lucko
0 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
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Lucko

(Away)
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)