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Kurilovec vs Oriolik

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Makuochukwu G.
40' Event
Sedlacek L.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Starcevic F.

AI Match Summary

Kurilovec in this Croatian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kurilovec
6%
Draws
4%
Oriolik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oriolik lately — more wins on the board than Kurilovec.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kurilovec taking it.
  • Oriolik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kurilovec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 68%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Oriolik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Croatian Cup
Kurilovec vs Oriolik
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kurilovec Compare

Top Goalscorer Makuochukwu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Starcevic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Oriolik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 95 / 100
Oriolik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Oriolik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriolik has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kurilovec found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kurilovec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Oriolik
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 6

Oriolik

(Away)
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0
Oriolik
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci5
Drnis0
TBD-
Mladost Zdralovi-
Maksimir3
Jadran Porec2
TBD-
Rijeka-
Nehaj Senj1
Vukovar 19912
TBD-
Cibalia-
NK Koprivnica1
Pitomaca0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Slavonija Pozega1
Marsonia0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
NK Radnicki Dalj0
Granicar Kotoriba2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Jedinstvo (DM)0
Dugo Selo3
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Varteks Varazdin (2011)3
Moslavina0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Spansko0
Gaj Mace1
TBD-
Varazdin-
Uljanik Pula2
Bjelovar0
TBD-
Osijek-
Belica1
Solin4
TBD-
Rudes-
NK Libertas Novska2
Opatija1
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Bednja Beletinec1
Karlovac4
TBD-
Belisce-
Bedem Ivankovo3
NK Dinamo Predavac5
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zemunik2
Kurilovec12
TBD-
Oriolik-
Neretva6
Zadrugar Oprisavci2
TBD-
Istra 1961-
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci0
Mladost Zdralovi1
Maksimir0
Rijeka4
Vukovar 19910
Cibalia1
NK Koprivnica1
Hajduk Split4
Slavonija Pozega0
Bijelo Brdo2
Granicar Kotoriba0
Slaven Belupo5
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)4
Sibenik1
Gaj Mace1
Varazdin7
Uljanik Pula0
Osijek4
Solin1
Rudes2
NK Libertas Novska1
HNK Gorica3
Karlovac5
Belisce0
NK Dinamo Predavac0
Din. Zagreb6
Kurilovec5
Oriolik0
Neretva1
Istra 19612
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi1
Rijeka4
Cibalia0
Hajduk Split1
Bijelo Brdo0
Slaven Belupo3
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)0
Varazdin2
Osijek1
Rudes0
HNK Gorica6
Karlovac0
Din. Zagreb7
Kurilovec2
Istra 19611
Quarter-finals
Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
Slaven Belupo2
Lok. Zagreb1
Varazdin1
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
Semi-finals
Rijeka2
Slaven Belupo0
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb6
Final
Rijeka0
Din. Zagreb2