Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL Center

Tresnjevka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kurilovec play Tresnjevka in the 3. HNL Center. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kurilovec averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Tresnjevka averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Kurilovec won 2, Tresnjevka won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Kurilovec and 1.50 for Tresnjevka. This points to a Kurilovec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Kurilovec

16%

Draws

35%

Tresnjevka

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Kurilovec picked up more points recently compared to Tresnjevka.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Kurilovec Clean Sheet 16%

Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kurilovec	Tresnjevka
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.8	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.43	2.27
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center

Tresnjevka vs Kurilovec

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL Center

Kurilovec vs Tresnjevka

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL Center

Tresnjevka vs Kurilovec

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

0:6

Aug 22, 2020 3. HNL Center

Kurilovec vs Tresnjevka

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 47 / 100

Tresnjevka 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kurilovec Tresnjevka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kurilovec or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kurilovec attacking → ← attacking Tresnjevka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kurilovec scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tresnjevka let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kurilovec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tresnjevka lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 27

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zagorec Krapina	34	24	6	4	82:38	78
2	Dugo Selo	34	20	8	6	61:31	68
3	Trnje	34	18	9	7	64:43	63
4	Karlovac	34	17	11	6	68:24	62
5	Lucko	34	18	7	9	65:36	61
6	Maksimir	34	17	6	11	55:40	57
7	Vrbovec	34	14	7	13	56:59	49
8	Ravnice	34	11	14	9	37:42	47
9	Gaj Mace	34	13	7	14	53:51	46
10	HASK	34	11	12	11	46:45	45
11	Vrapce	34	11	10	13	56:48	43
12	Bistra	34	10	11	13	53:56	41
13	Kurilovec	34	8	12	14	39:44	36
14	Lukavec	34	8	9	17	37:69	33
15	Tresnjevka	34	7	8	19	53:78	29
16	Ponikve	34	7	7	20	32:53	28
17	Segesta	34	6	8	20	33:76	26
18	Mladost Petrinja	34	5	10	19	32:89	25