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Kursk vs FC Oryol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zakharov D.
36'
Khmelevskoy S.
36'
Khmelevskoy S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Kursk and FC Oryol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kursk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kursk
20%
Draws
44%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kursk's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what FC Oryol have produced (1.1).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kursk Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk FC Oryol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs FC Oryol
3:2
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Russian Cup
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:2
Apr 9, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
0:3
Aug 25, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knyazev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Agakhanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fateev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 32 / 100
FC Oryol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Kursk's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Kursk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS FC Oryol
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kursk

(Home)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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FC Oryol

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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