Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kursk vs M. Lipetsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Semin D.
74' Event
Sukharev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Kursk and M. Lipetsk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kursk
30%
Draws
34%
M. Lipetsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kursk haven't matched M. Lipetsk's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kursk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kursk Clean Sheet 11%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk M. Lipetsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs M. Lipetsk
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kursk vs M. Lipetsk
1:2
Aug 27, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
M. Lipetsk vs Kursk
0:2
Jul 6, 2023 Club Friendly
M. Lipetsk vs Kursk
2:2
Mar 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Kursk vs M. Lipetsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sukharev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Semin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 35 / 100
M. Lipetsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk M. Lipetsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

M. Lipetsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kursk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS M. Lipetsk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%