Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kursk vs Strogino Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Chelyshev N.
63' Event
Balitsky E.
72' Event
Komarov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Kursk and Strogino Moscow finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strogino Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kursk
20%
Draws
44%
Strogino Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strogino Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kursk come out ahead of Strogino Moscow on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kursk Clean Sheet 18%
Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk Strogino Moscow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Strogino Moscow
1:3
Apr 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Kursk
0:0
Nov 9, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Kursk
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Strogino Moscow
3:0
May 11, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Kursk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Balitsky E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Strogino Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelyshev N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Komarov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 32 / 100
Strogino Moscow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk Strogino Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Strogino Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Kursk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS Strogino Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kursk

(Home)
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
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Strogino Moscow

(Away)
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
30 Aug
Strogino Moscow
0 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
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