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Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Ugwuodo P.
25'
Ugwuodo P.
25'
Ugwuodo P.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL game between Kustosija and Croatia Zmijavci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kustosija
30%
Draws
41%
Croatia Zmijavci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia Zmijavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Croatia Zmijavci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kustosija a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Croatia Zmijavci
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci
1:2
Nov 11, 2022 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci
2:1
Aug 28, 2022 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Kustosija
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 36 / 100
Croatia Zmijavci 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Croatia Zmijavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kustosija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Croatia Zmijavci let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kustosija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Croatia Zmijavci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
09 Oct
Opatija
1 : 1
Kustosija
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
Page 1 of 6

Croatia Zmijavci

(Away)
27 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 0
Sesvete
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
13 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 3
Vukovar 1991
06 Sept
Orijent
1 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
02 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 0
Bijelo Brdo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
2 Mladost Zdralovi 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Cibalia 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
5 Bijelo Brdo 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
6 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
7 Karlovac 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 Orijent 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
9 Vukovar 1991 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
10 Sesvete 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
11 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
12 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
13 Opatija 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
14 Dubrava Zagreb 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
15 Kustosija 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
16 Hrvace 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
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