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Kustosija vs HNK Zadar Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Kustosija Logo

Kustosija

3 - 1
FT
HNK Zadar Logo

HNK Zadar

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zabec D.
24' Event
Santini I.
32' Event
Cirino R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kustosija
30%
Draws
23%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kustosija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kustosija have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — HNK Zadar are scoring more at 1.7.
  • Kustosija are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kustosija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 20%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija HNK Zadar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Croatian Cup
Kustosija vs HNK Zadar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cirino R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

HNK Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Santini I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 40 / 100
HNK Zadar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kustosija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kustosija scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

HNK Zadar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: HNK Zadar conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS HNK Zadar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 6

HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -