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Kustosija vs Karlovac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Begonja D.
83' Event
Pervan M.
89' Event
Qestaj E.

AI Match Summary

Karlovac in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kustosija
20%
Draws
51%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kustosija at 1.52 per game, Karlovac at 1.32.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Karlovac have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 19%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Karlovac
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Kustosija vs Karlovac
1:2
May 31, 2025 Druga NL
Karlovac vs Kustosija
1:0
Nov 29, 2024 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Karlovac
0:0
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Kustosija
1:0
Apr 26, 2024 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Karlovac
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Begonja D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Pervan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qestaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 32 / 100
Karlovac 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Kustosija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kustosija remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Karlovac
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
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Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
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