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Kustosija vs Marsonia Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Guja M.
32' Event
Puljic A.
36' Event
Faye F.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Kustosija and Marsonia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kustosija
15%
Draws
59%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Marsonia haven't matched Kustosija's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Marsonia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Marsonia
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Kustosija
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Kustosija
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Marsonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Guja M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puljic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Marsonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 31 / 100
Marsonia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kustosija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsonia let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kustosija scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Kustosija has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)