Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kozic L.
32' Event
Krizmanic T.
66' Event
Bjelivuk I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Kustosija and Segesta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kustosija
30%
Draws
43%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Segesta come out ahead of Kustosija on wins alone.
  • Model gives Segesta a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kustosija have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Segesta
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.76 2.26
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Segesta
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Kustosija
1:4
Apr 11, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Segesta
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Druga NL
Segesta vs Kustosija
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Krizmanic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjelivuk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 10 / 100
Segesta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kustosija's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kustosija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Segesta conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Segesta
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
29 Jul
Kustosija
1 : 2
Karlovac
25 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Kustosija
22 Jul
Kustosija
4 : 1
NK Krka
16 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 1
Kustosija
29 May
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 3
Kustosija
Page 1 of 6

Segesta

(Away)
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
29 Jul
NK Krka
1 : 4
Segesta
24 Jul
Triglav
2 : 2
Segesta
18 Jul
Segesta
4 : 0
Karlovac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)