Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Zadar

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2018/2019 game between Kustosija and Zadar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kustosija
15%
Draws
51%
Zadar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Zadar haven't matched Kustosija's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 68%
Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Zadar
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Zadar
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Prva NL
Zadar vs Kustosija
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 41 / 100
Zadar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kustosija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zadar has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kustosija scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Away concern: Zadar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 8

Zadar

(Away)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varazdin 26 16 3 7 40:30 51
2 Sibenik 26 13 7 6 38:25 46
3 Osijek 2 26 13 5 8 37:26 44
4 Dugopolje 26 13 4 9 29:25 43
5 Hajduk Split 2 26 12 7 7 36:29 43
6 Sesvete 26 11 7 8 38:26 40
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
8 Zadar 26 9 7 10 36:40 34
9 Bijelo Brdo 26 6 10 10 31:37 28
10 Solin 26 5 13 8 24:31 28
11 Kustosija 26 7 7 12 20:28 28
12 Dragovoljac 26 7 6 13 23:29 27
13 Medjimurje 26 6 7 13 26:42 25
14 Lucko 26 6 6 14 16:31 24
Promotion - 1. HNL 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - 1. HNL 2018/2019 (Relegation)