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Kutahyaspor vs Darica Genclerbirligi

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kutahyaspor play Darica Genclerbirligi in the 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024. Kutahyaspor are favorites here. Recently, Kutahyaspor averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. Darica Genclerbirligi averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Kutahyaspor won 4, Darica Genclerbirligi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 21, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Kutahyaspor and 0.81 for Darica Genclerbirligi. This points to a Kutahyaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Kutahyaspor
15%
Draws
19%
Darica Genclerbirligi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kutahyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Kutahyaspor picked up more points recently compared to Darica Genclerbirligi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Kutahyaspor Clean Sheet 26%
Darica Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kutahyaspor Darica Genclerbirligi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 26 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.16 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Kutahyaspor vs Darica Genclerbirligi
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Darica Genclerbirligi vs Kutahyaspor
0:1
Sep 30, 2021 Turkish Cup
Kutahyaspor vs Darica Genclerbirligi
0:1
Mar 3, 2021 3. Lig Group 2
Darica Genclerbirligi vs Kutahyaspor
0:1
Nov 1, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Kutahyaspor vs Darica Genclerbirligi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kutahyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydil F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Darica Genclerbirligi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kutahyaspor 65 / 100
Darica Genclerbirligi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kutahyaspor Darica Genclerbirligi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kutahyaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kutahyaspor & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kutahyaspor attacking → ← attacking Darica Genclerbirligi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kutahyaspor scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Darica Genclerbirligi let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Kutahyaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Darica Genclerbirligi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

81 Points in last 5 26
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617