Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kutjevo vs Marsonia

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kutjevo
15%
Draws
51%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marsonia lately — more wins on the board than Kutjevo.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Kutjevo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Marsonia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kutjevo Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kutjevo Marsonia
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.73 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL East
Kutjevo vs Marsonia
0:4
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Kutjevo
3:2
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Kutjevo
1:1
Oct 13, 2020 3. HNL East
Kutjevo vs Marsonia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kutjevo 67 / 100
Marsonia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kutjevo Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kutjevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kutjevo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Marsonia let in goals in 76% of their last 46 matches.

Kutjevo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marsonia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kutjevo

(Home)
26 Sept
Kutjevo
1 : 4
Osijek
30 Aug
Gospic
2 : 4
Kutjevo
27 May
Kutjevo
0 : 1
Slavonija Pozega
21 May
Belisce
5 : 3
Kutjevo
15 May
Kutjevo
3 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
Page 1 of 6

Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)