Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kvarnsvedens W vs Umea Sodra W

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 Women 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kvarnsvedens W play Umea Sodra W in the Division 1 Women 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kvarnsvedens W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. Umea Sodra W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Kvarnsvedens W won 4, Umea Sodra W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Kvarnsvedens W and 1.75 for Umea Sodra W. This points to a Kvarnsvedens W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kvarnsvedens W
15%
Draws
33%
Umea Sodra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kvarnsvedens W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Kvarnsvedens W picked up more points recently compared to Umea Sodra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Kvarnsvedens W Clean Sheet 12%
Umea Sodra W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kvarnsvedens W Umea Sodra W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 2.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Elitettan Women
Kvarnsvedens W vs Umea Sodra W
3:0
Jun 1, 2014 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Kvarnsvedens W
0:2
Aug 31, 2013 Elitettan Women
Umea Sodra W vs Kvarnsvedens W
2:0
Apr 28, 2013 Elitettan Women
Kvarnsvedens W vs Umea Sodra W
2:1
Sep 1, 2012 Elitettan Women
Kvarnsvedens W vs Umea Sodra W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kvarnsvedens W 49 / 100
Umea Sodra W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kvarnsvedens W Umea Sodra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kvarnsvedens W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kvarnsvedens W attacking → ← attacking Umea Sodra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvarnsvedens W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Umea Sodra W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kvarnsvedens W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Umea Sodra W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 23
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sunnana W22183169:1557
2Sirius W22182264:1456
3Sundsvall W22152567:2547
4Kvarnsvedens W22142647:2244
5Umea Sodra W22112942:3535
6Hammarby W221011134:3531
7Vasteras BK 30 W22921140:5229
8Ragsved W22831143:4927
9Assi W22731240:5524
10Bollstanas W22431533:5815
11Vasalund W22411726:6413
12Gustafs GoIF W22121916:975
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallbacken W20127145:1443
2QBIK Karlstad W20107343:2237
3Oster W20105542:2235
4Eskilstuna United W20104643:3534
5Kalmar W20103748:3933
6Bunkeflo W20103737:3833
7Hovas W2093829:3130
8Kungsbacka W2084841:2628
9Norrkoping W2074939:4025
10Lindsdals W20221613:458
11Linkoping Kenty DFF W20021813:812
12Dalsjofors W00000:00