Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Saheed O.
46'
46'
Sub
Ebhohon J. In: Joseph D.
Out: Ebhohon J.
46'
46'
Sub
Ohanu J. In: Oladeji I.
Out: Ohanu J.
AI Match Summary
Kwara in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kwara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kwara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kwara lately — more wins on the board than Warri Wolves.
- Model gives Kwara a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kwara Clean Sheet 20%
Warri Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kwara | Warri Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Warri Wolves
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
0:0
May 22, 2024 Federation Cup
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 NPFL
Kwara vs Warri Wolves
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kwara Compare
Top Goalscorer Saheed O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Warri Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Ita P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kwara 67 / 100
Warri Wolves 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kwara Warri Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warri Wolves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Kwara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Warri Wolves lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Kwara scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Kwara VS Warri Wolves
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kwara
(Home) 01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0 Kwara
10 May
Kwara
2 : 0 Enyimba International
03 May
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2 Kwara
19 Apr
Kwara
2 : 1 Barau
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
10 May
Kwara
2 : 0 Enyimba International
19 Apr
Kwara
2 : 1 Barau
05 Apr
Kwara
3 : 0 El Kanemi Warriors
28 Mar
Kwara
1 : 0 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 3
Warri Wolves
(Away) 01 Jun
Bida Lions
2 : 0 Warri Wolves
24 May
Warri Wolves
2 : 1 Abia Warriors
10 May
Kano Pillars
1 : 0 Warri Wolves
03 May
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Plateau United
19 Apr
Nasarawa United
3 : 0 Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Bida Lions
2 : 0 Warri Wolves
10 May
Kano Pillars
1 : 0 Warri Wolves
19 Apr
Nasarawa United
3 : 0 Warri Wolves
12 Apr
Kun Khalifa
3 : 0 Warri Wolves
29 Mar
Ikorodu City
4 : 3 Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 47:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 44:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Shooting | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 41:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 43:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Bendel | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 44:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 37:34 | 56 |
| 7 | Abia Warriors | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 31:34 | 55 |
| 8 | Barau | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:30 | 52 |
| 9 | Katsina Utd | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 36:39 | 52 |
| 10 | Plateau United | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 39:40 | 50 |
| 11 | Enyimba International | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifa | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 37:36 | 48 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 34:39 | 48 |
| 16 | Kwara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 32:36 | 47 |
| 17 | Remo Stars | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 18 | El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 27:46 | 47 |
| 19 | Bayelsa United | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 20 | Wikki Tourists | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36:48 | 40 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
