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Kwara vs Wikki Tourists - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Kwara Sports Stadium, Ilorin
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Akanni A.
46'
Sub
Shola A. In: Mohammed A. M.
Out: Shola A.
46'
Sub
Gata A. In: Abdulsalam A.
Out: Gata A.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Kwara and Wikki Tourists finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kwara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kwara
15%
Draws
42%
Wikki Tourists
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kwara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Wikki Tourists haven't matched Kwara's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kwara a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Kwara Clean Sheet 68%
Wikki Tourists Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kwara Wikki Tourists
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Wikki Tourists
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 NPFL
Wikki Tourists vs Kwara
1:1
Aug 3, 2022 Federation Cup
Kwara vs Wikki Tourists
1:2
Apr 16, 2022 NPFL
Wikki Tourists vs Kwara
1:1
Dec 29, 2021 NPFL
Kwara vs Wikki Tourists
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kwara Compare

Top Goalscorer Akanni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wikki Tourists Compare

Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kwara 59 / 100
Wikki Tourists 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kwara Wikki Tourists

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kwara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wikki Tourists has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kwara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kwara scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kwara VS Wikki Tourists
1.38 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Kwara

(Home)
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1
Ranchers Bees
27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0
Kwara
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1
Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Kwara
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6

Wikki Tourists

(Away)
17 Jun
El Kanemi Warriors
3 : 1
Wikki Tourists
11 Jun
Wikki Tourists
2 : 1
Flight FC Gboko
06 Jun
Kada Warriors
1 : 3
Wikki Tourists
01 Jun
Wikki Tourists
3 : 1
Bayelsa United
24 May
Kun Khalifa
3 : 1
Wikki Tourists
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)