Sport Picks
Kyoto Sangyo vs Moriyama Samurai
Japan
Emperors Cup 2025 Takebishi Stadium, Kyoto 
Match Events
58'
58'
Oshima Y.
61'
61'
Hiroki N.
70'
70'
Ogura S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Kyoto Sangyo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kyoto Sangyo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kyoto Sangyo come out ahead of Moriyama Samurai on wins alone.
- Kyoto Sangyo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Kyoto Sangyo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kyoto Sangyo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Kyoto Sangyo Clean Sheet 20%
Moriyama Samurai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyoto Sangyo | Moriyama Samurai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 1 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Emperors Cup
Kyoto Sangyo vs Moriyama Samurai
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kyoto Sangyo Compare
Top Goalscorer Hiroki N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Moriyama Samurai Compare
Top Goalscorer Oshima Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyoto Sangyo 76 / 100
Moriyama Samurai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyoto Sangyo Moriyama Samurai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyoto Sangyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kyoto Sangyo scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.
Moriyama Samurai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Kyoto Sangyo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kyoto Sangyo VS Moriyama Samurai
2 Goals Scored 1
1.2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyoto Sangyo
(Home) 26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2 Kyoto Sangyo
19 Aug
Kanazawa
1 : 4 Kyoto Sangyo
11 Jun
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
24 May
Kyoto Sangyo
3 : 1 Moriyama Samurai
27 Aug
Nara Club
2 : 0 Kyoto Sangyo
24 May
Kyoto Sangyo
3 : 1 Moriyama Samurai
Moriyama Samurai
(Away) 24 May
Kyoto Sangyo
3 : 1 Moriyama Samurai
24 May
Kyoto Sangyo
3 : 1 Moriyama Samurai
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Kyoto Sangyo 3
Moriyama Samurai 1
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
Toyama 2
Juntendo University 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
Nara Club 3
Niigata University 1
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 6
North Asia University 0
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Hosei 0
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Omiya Ardija 0
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Okinawa 4
Verspah Oita 1
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Kanazawa 6
Chukyo 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
Oita Trinita 2
Lvnirosso 0
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 4
Basara Hyogo 3
Tokushima -
TBD -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Veertien Mie 1
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
Imabari 0
Kagoshima United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Urawa Reds -
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Fukushima United 9
Tokyo International University 1
Iwata -
TBD -
Mito 0
SC Sagamihara 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 5
BTOP Hokkaido 0
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Kamatamare Sanuki 2
Kochi United 3
Kofu -
TBD -
Fukui Utd. 1
Honda FC 0
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Fukuyama City 2
FC Tokushima 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Sendai University 2
Toyo University 4
Verdy -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 5
Oyama 0
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Mitsubishi Nagasaki 0
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 2
Gainare Tottori 1
Chiba -
TBD -
TBD -
Kumamoto -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Brew Saga 2
Hirondelle Kumamoto 1
Fujieda MYFC -
TBD -
Baleine Shimonoseki 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
FC Osaka 1
1/32-finals
Machida Zelvia 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Vegalta Sendai 0
Toyama 1
Kyoto 1
Nara Club 0
Yokohama FC 2
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Kashima Antlers 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Avispa Fukuoka 2
Okinawa 0
Okayama 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu 2
FC Tokyo 3
Kanazawa 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Oita Trinita 3
Cerezo Osaka 5
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Tokushima 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Veertien Mie 1
Montedio Yamagata 2
Kagoshima United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Urawa Reds -
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Fukushima United 3
Iwata 1
SC Sagamihara 2
Yokohama F. Marinos 0
Reinmeer Aomori 2
Iwaki 1
Blaublitz 2
Vissel Kobe 4
Kochi United 1
Kofu 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Albirex Niigata 1
Fukuyama City 0
Kashiwa Reysol 0
Toyo University 2
Verdy 3
Tochigi SC 1
Sagan Tosu 1
Ehime 0
Nagoya Grampus 3
Veroskronos Tsuno 0
Chiba 1
Kumamoto 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Brew Saga 1
Fujieda MYFC 2
Baleine Shimonoseki 0
Shonan Bellmare 2
Gifu 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 4
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
1/16-finals
Machida Zelvia 2
Toyama 1
Kyoto 4
Yokohama FC 3
Kashima Antlers 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu 0
FC Tokyo 2
Oita Trinita 0
Cerezo Osaka 2
Tokushima 0
Gamba Osaka 4
Montedio Yamagata 5
TBD -
Urawa Reds -
Kawasaki Frontale 0
SC Sagamihara 1
Reinmeer Aomori 1
Blaublitz 2
Vissel Kobe 2
Kofu 1
Albirex Niigata 1
Toyo University 2
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Nagoya Grampus 2
Kumamoto 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5
Fujieda MYFC 2
Shonan Bellmare 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
1/8-finals
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashima Antlers 3
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Tokyo 2
Cerezo Osaka 1
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 2
SC Sagamihara 2
Blaublitz 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Toyo University 1
Verdy 1
Nagoya Grampus 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Shimizu S-Pulse 0
Quarter-finals
Machida Zelvia 3
Kashima Antlers 0
FC Tokyo 2
Urawa Reds 1
SC Sagamihara 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Nagoya Grampus 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Semi-finals
Machida Zelvia 2
FC Tokyo 0
Vissel Kobe 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0
Final
Machida Zelvia 3
Vissel Kobe 1
