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Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Koizumi Y.
Assist: Kakita Y.
2' Event
Arai H.
Assist: Rafael Elias
14'
Nakano R.

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kyoto
6%
Draws
90%
Kashiwa Reysol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kashiwa Reysol have won more games recently than Kyoto.
  • Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 16%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto
0:1
May 30, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:6
Jun 21, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto
3:3
Apr 2, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Jun 26, 2024 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Arai H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Komi Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koizumi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 10 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Kashiwa Reysol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Kyoto found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Kashiwa Reysol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Kyoto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
Cerezo Osaka5
FC Tokyo3
Nagoya Grampus3
Machida Zelvia4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kawasaki Frontale1
Gamba Osaka5
Verdy3
Okayama3
Urawa Reds1
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Kyoto3
Kashiwa Reysol6
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Mito0
Avispa Fukuoka4
Chiba3