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Kyoto vs Mito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
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Match Events

17' Event
Mase T.
Assist: Funabashi Y.
31' Event
Kimoto Y.
Assist: Funabashi Y.
46'
Sub
Hirato T. In: Maceio
Out: Hirato T.

AI Match Summary

The J1 League game between Kyoto and Mito finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kyoto
15%
Draws
42%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mito taking it.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 20%
Mito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Mito
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Mito
1:3
Aug 22, 2021 J2 League
Mito vs Kyoto
0:2
May 16, 2021 J2 League
Kyoto vs Mito
1:0
Nov 15, 2020 J2 League
Mito vs Kyoto
2:1
Aug 12, 2020 J2 League
Kyoto vs Mito
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mito Compare

Top Goalscorer Mase T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kimoto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 10 / 100
Mito 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mito conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Kyoto found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mito registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Mito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)
17 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Kyoto
13 Oct
Kyoto
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

Mito

(Away)
17 Oct
Mito
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
14 Oct
Mito
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Mito
1 : 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Machida Zelvia 10 7 2 1 25:10 23
3 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
4 Vissel Kobe 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
6 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 10 4 1 5 12:15 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10 2 1 7 11:16 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)