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Stadium Background

Kyrgyzstan U20 vs Lebanon U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nicolas M.
36' Event
Fahes M.
44' Event
Isakov A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kyrgyzstan U20
20%
Draws
33%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyrgyzstan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kyrgyzstan U20 lately — more wins on the board than Lebanon U20.
  • Kyrgyzstan U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Kyrgyzstan U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lebanon U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kyrgyzstan U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Kyrgyzstan U20 vs Lebanon U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdykalilov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bondarenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lebanon U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fahes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan U20 76 / 100
Lebanon U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan U20 Lebanon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Kyrgyzstan U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Kyrgyzstan U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan U20 VS Lebanon U20
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan U20

(Home)
06 Sept
South Korea U20
0 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U20
03 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 3
Lebanon U20
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
03 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U20
4 : 0
Bahrain U20
19 May
Tajikistan U20
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U20
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon U20

(Away)
03 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 3
Lebanon U20
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3
South Korea U20
24 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 2
Tajikistan U20
21 Aug
Lebanon U20
0 : 1
Tajikistan U20
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)