Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyrgyzstan U21 vs Tajikistan U21

World World

CIS Cup 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rakhmonov A.
69' Event
Rakhmonov A.
76' Event
Musabekov F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CIS Cup 2014 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kyrgyzstan U21
11%
Draws
9%
Tajikistan U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kyrgyzstan U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyrgyzstan U21 have won more games recently than Tajikistan U21.
  • Win probability leans Kyrgyzstan U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Kyrgyzstan U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tajikistan U21, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kyrgyzstan U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Tajikistan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan U21 Tajikistan U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2015 CIS Cup
Tajikistan U21 vs Kyrgyzstan U21
1:3
Feb 1, 2014 CIS Cup
Kyrgyzstan U21 vs Tajikistan U21
1:2
Jan 25, 2014 CIS Cup
Kyrgyzstan U21 vs Tajikistan U21
2:2
Jan 26, 2012 CIS Cup
Kyrgyzstan U21 vs Tajikistan U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musabekov F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagynbaev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tajikistan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhmonov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan U21 76 / 100
Tajikistan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan U21 Tajikistan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Tajikistan U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kyrgyzstan U21 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan U21 VS Tajikistan U21
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan U21

(Home)
20 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U21
23 Jan
Kyrgyzstan U21
0 : 1
Estonia U21
21 Jan
Kyrgyzstan U21
2 : 2
Kazakhstan U21
19 Jan
Moldova U21
2 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U21
17 Jan
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U21
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Tajikistan U21

(Away)
23 Jan
Kazakhstan U21
3 : 2
Tajikistan U21
21 Jan
Latvia U21
3 : 2
Tajikistan U21
19 Jan
Tajikistan U21
1 : 4
Estonia U21
17 Jan
Russia U21
2 : 1
Tajikistan U21
25 Jan
Kazakhstan U21
2 : 0
Tajikistan U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine U2133008:19
2Estonia U2131115:44
3Tajikistan U2130215:82
4Kyrgyzstan U2130122:71
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Russia U21330010:19
2Zenit St Petersburg U2132016:46
3Lithuania U2131021:53
4Moldova U2130030:70
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Latvia U2132102:07
2Belarus U2131116:44
3Kazakhstan U2131113:44
4Moscow U2130122:51
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - CIS Cup 2014 (Play Offs)
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CIS Cup 2014 (9th-12th places)