Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Japan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Kyrgyzstan U23 Logo

Kyrgyzstan U23

0 - 7
FT
Japan U23 Logo

Japan U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Raimbekov A.
28' Event
Yokoyama Y.
32'
Ermekov B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kyrgyzstan U23
15%
Draws
54%
Japan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U23 have won more games recently than Kyrgyzstan U23.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Japan U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kyrgyzstan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan U23 Japan U23
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 28
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.23 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Asian Games
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Japan U23
0:7
Nov 13, 2010 Asian Games
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Japan U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimamoto Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yokoyama Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan U23 10 / 100
Japan U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan U23 Japan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Kyrgyzstan U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Kyrgyzstan U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U23 has conceded goals in 38% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan U23 VS Japan U23
1 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
South Korea U23
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

Japan U23

(Away)
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)