Sport Picks
Kyrgyzstan vs Qatar
World
World Championship 2026 Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek 
Match Events
27'
27'
Zarypbekov E.
39'
39'
Sub
Fathi A. In: Meshaal M.
Out: Fathi A.
45'
45'
Pedro Miguel
AI Match Summary
Kyrgyzstan in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyrgyzstan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qatar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Qatar have won more games recently than Kyrgyzstan.
- Kyrgyzstan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Qatar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyrgyzstan | Qatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Kyrgyzstan vs Qatar
3:1
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan
3:1
Dec 25, 2018 Friendly International
Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kyrgyzstan Compare
Top Goalscorer Kichin V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mishchenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Qatar Compare
Top Goalscorer Suhail A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyrgyzstan 85 / 100
Qatar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyrgyzstan Qatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qatar let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Kyrgyzstan found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Kyrgyzstan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kyrgyzstan VS Qatar
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyrgyzstan
(Home) 28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0 Maldives
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0 Maldives
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
Page 1 of 4
Qatar
(Away) 27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1 Qatar
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0 Bahrain
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0 Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1 Switzerland
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1 Qatar
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0 Qatar
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0 Qatar
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1 Qatar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Qatar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 6 | North Korea | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Jordan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Iraq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Oman | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Palestine | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuwait | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:20 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30:3 | 23 |
| 2 | Australia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:20 | 12 |
| 5 | China | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
