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Kyustendil vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Kyustendil in this Third League - South-West 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kyustendil
20%
Draws
40%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kyustendil have won more games recently than CSKA 1948 Sofia III.
  • Model gives Kyustendil a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kyustendil here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 19%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.56 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
5:2
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Kyustendil
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Kyustendil
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 58 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia III 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil CSKA 1948 Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia III let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kyustendil scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: CSKA 1948 Sofia III has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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CSKA 1948 Sofia III

(Away)
04 Jun
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
31 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 4
Levski Sofia II
25 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
17 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
14 May
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 36 26 5 5 81:34 83
2 Kyustendil 36 24 4 8 98:46 76
3 Oborishte Panagyurishte 36 19 10 7 63:33 67
4 Rilski Sportist 36 18 8 10 68:51 62
5 Bansko 36 15 11 10 45:31 56
6 Balkan Botevgrad 36 15 9 12 60:56 54
7 Pirin Razlog 36 15 8 13 57:47 53
8 Septemvri Simitli 36 16 5 15 47:46 53
9 Bistritsa 36 15 7 14 52:51 52
10 Septemvri Sofia 2 36 15 7 14 46:48 52
11 Levski Sofia II 36 14 6 16 39:43 48
12 Gotse Delchev 36 12 11 13 43:57 47
13 CSKA Sofia III 36 11 13 12 50:51 46
14 Botev Ihtiman 36 11 12 13 40:47 45
15 Slivnishki Geroy 36 10 12 14 44:45 42
16 Slavia Sofia 2 36 9 11 16 41:58 38
17 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 36 7 9 20 45:70 30
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 36 5 10 21 32:64 25
19 Granit Vladaya 36 2 8 26 34:107 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)