Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kyustendil and Septemvri Sofia 2 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kyustendil
15%
Draws
51%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia 2 come out ahead of Kyustendil on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Sofia 2 taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 17%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kyustendil
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kyustendil
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 23 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyustendil found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Septemvri Sofia 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia 2 conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 7

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)