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Kyzylzhar vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Karasai Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar play Kairat Almaty in the Premier League. Kairat Almaty are favorites here. Recently, Kyzylzhar averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Kairat Almaty averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Kyzylzhar won 0, Kairat Almaty won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Kyzylzhar and 1.75 for Kairat Almaty. This points to a Kairat Almaty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kyzylzhar
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kyzylzhar.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kairat Almaty.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 12%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Kairat Almaty
2:4
Jun 17, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kyzylzhar
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kyzylzhar
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Kairat Almaty
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzylzhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahoken S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Oksanen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gual M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzylzhar scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Kairat Almaty let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kyzylzhar went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kairat Almaty lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS Kairat Almaty
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy16124028:940
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3Okzhetpes1676321:2127
4Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
5FC Astana1675422:1726
6Aktobe1674520:1525
7Ulytau1665513:1523
8Atyrau1639412:1318
9Zhetysu Taldykorgan1646621:2418
10Zhenis1646613:1918
11Kaisar Kyzylorda1739513:1918
12Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
13Tobol1643916:2415
14Kaspij Aktau16421012:2014
15Altai1627711:1813
16Ertis Pavlodar1618714:2111