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Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Karasai Stadium, Petropavl
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kalaica B.
59' Event
Basmanov S.
Assist: Islamkhan B.
63'
Bartolec K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kyzylzhar and FC Astana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kyzylzhar
15%
Draws
59%
FC Astana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Astana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar FC Astana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana
1:1
May 9, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Kyzylzhar
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Kyzylzhar
3:3
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
FC Astana vs Kyzylzhar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzylzhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Piscevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Basmanov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 18 / 100
FC Astana 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar FC Astana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FC Astana let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kyzylzhar scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Kyzylzhar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS FC Astana
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyzylzhar

(Home)
10 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

FC Astana

(Away)
10 Oct
Tobol
2 : 1
FC Astana
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)