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Kyzylzhar vs Shymkent

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Kyzylzhar Logo

Kyzylzhar

2 - 0
FT
Shymkent Logo

Shymkent

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar in this First Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzylzhar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kyzylzhar
20%
Draws
48%
Shymkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shymkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kyzylzhar have won more games recently than Shymkent.
  • Kyzylzhar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kyzylzhar here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 17%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar Shymkent
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2013 First League
Kyzylzhar vs Shymkent
6:1
Mar 31, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Kyzylzhar
0:2
Aug 24, 2012 First League
Kyzylzhar vs Shymkent
2:0
May 31, 2012 First League
Shymkent vs Kyzylzhar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 84 / 100
Shymkent 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar Shymkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyzylzhar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shymkent has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Shymkent has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kyzylzhar's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyzylzhar

(Home)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 7

Shymkent

(Away)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)