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L Entregu CF vs Covadonga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Germanier B.
22' Event
Fernandez I.
42' Event
Alvarez V.

AI Match Summary

Covadonga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Covadonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
L Entregu CF
20%
Draws
46%
Covadonga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Covadonga have won more games recently than L Entregu CF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
L Entregu CF Clean Sheet 19%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Entregu CF Covadonga
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs Covadonga
0:4
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs L Entregu CF
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs L Entregu CF
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs Covadonga
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs L Entregu CF
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Entregu CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Germanier B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Entregu CF 32 / 100
Covadonga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Entregu CF Covadonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Entregu CF scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Covadonga has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: L Entregu CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Entregu CF VS Covadonga
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
0.86 Goals Conceded 2
29% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

L Entregu CF

(Home)
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
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Covadonga

(Away)
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0
Covadonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)