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L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Penalver J.
(Penalty)
74'
Aguza S.
90' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with CF Badalona advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
L Hospitalet
39%
Draws
31%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Badalona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • CF Badalona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Badalona, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Hospitalet CF Badalona
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
1:3
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:2
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Hospitalet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 41 / 100
CF Badalona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Hospitalet CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Hospitalet scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: L Hospitalet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: CF Badalona has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS CF Badalona
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

L Hospitalet

(Home)
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
17 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 2
CF Badalona
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
03 May
CF Badalona
3 : 2
L Hospitalet
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
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CF Badalona

(Away)
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
31 May
Cornella
4 : 1
CF Badalona
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CF Badalona3
L Hospitalet3
Cornella2
CF Vilanova2
Final
CF Badalona4
Cornella4