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L Hospitalet vs Gava

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018 game between L Hospitalet and Gava finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward L Hospitalet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
L Hospitalet
17%
Draws
13%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: L Hospitalet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and L Hospitalet come out ahead of Gava on wins alone.
  • Model gives L Hospitalet a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%
Gava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Hospitalet Gava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Gava
1:0
Sep 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs L Hospitalet
1:0
Apr 15, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Gava vs L Hospitalet
1:1
Nov 20, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
L Hospitalet vs Gava
1:1
May 4, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Gava vs L Hospitalet
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 77 / 100
Gava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Hospitalet Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gava conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

L Hospitalet scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

L Hospitalet has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

L Hospitalet

(Home)
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
17 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 2
CF Badalona
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
03 May
CF Badalona
3 : 2
L Hospitalet
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Espanyol B38279274:2590
2Sant Andreu381914561:2471
3L Hospitalet38218961:3171
4Terrassa381713860:3864
5Prat381891157:3563
6Pobla Mafumet381712940:2563
7FC Asco381515847:4160
8CE Europa3815131048:4658
9FC Vilafranca381661648:4254
10UE Figueres381581547:4353
11Horta381481647:5250
12Cerdanyola del Valles381391635:4348
13Santboia3811151235:3748
14Reus FC Reddis B3812111540:5047
15Santfeliuenc3812101643:4246
16UE Castelldefels3811111640:4644
17Granollers381152232:5438
18Palamos CF387102138:6431
19Gava38492528:8721
20Vilassar de Mar38392624:8018
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)