Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Almunia vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Gumiel J.
82' Event
Clavero J.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Roy A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 game between La Almunia and Almudevar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Almunia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
La Almunia
17%
Draws
13%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of La Almunia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans La Almunia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Almudevar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs La Almunia
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs La Almunia
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 77 / 100
Almudevar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Almudevar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

La Almunia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Almudevar
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
19 Apr
La Almunia
0 : 1
Andorra CF
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
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Almudevar

(Away)
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
12 Apr
Almudevar
1 : 0
Binefar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Calamocha34236549:2275
2CD Cuarte342014043:1274
3Atletico Monzon34234773:3773
4Epila341910539:2067
5CD Caspe341314738:2653
6Huesca B3414101052:3352
7Binefar341461458:4748
8La Almunia341114942:3847
9Almudevar341281434:3944
10Tamarite3410111341:4741
11Andorra CF341091535:4539
12CF Illueca349111435:5138
13Robres341061838:4936
14CD Belchite 97347111628:4332
15CD Carinena345161335:4631
16UD Casetas346121640:5630
17Utrillas345141536:5729
18Zuera342102217:6516
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)