Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Almunia vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Gumiel J.
82' Event
Clavero J.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Roy A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between La Almunia and Almudevar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Almunia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
La Almunia
15%
Draws
39%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of La Almunia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans La Almunia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Almudevar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs La Almunia
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs La Almunia
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Almudevar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 50 / 100
Almudevar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Almunia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Almudevar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

La Almunia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Almudevar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
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Almudevar

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)