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La Estrella vs CD Calamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between La Estrella and CD Calamonte finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Calamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Estrella
15%
Draws
85%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • CD Calamonte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Calamonte here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Estrella CD Calamonte
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 16
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Calamonte
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs La Estrella
2:1
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Calamonte
0:2
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs La Estrella
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Estrella 31 / 100
CD Calamonte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Estrella CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Estrella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Estrella found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Calamonte let in goals in 73% of their last 45 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: CD Calamonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Estrella

(Home)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
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CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)