Sport Picks
La Estrella vs Fuente de Cantos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between La Estrella and Fuente de Cantos finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Estrella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fuente de Cantos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fuente de Cantos come out ahead of La Estrella on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Fuente de Cantos here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Fuente de Cantos Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Estrella | Fuente de Cantos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Fuente de Cantos
1:3
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs La Estrella
2:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs La Estrella
5:2
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Fuente de Cantos
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Estrella 32 / 100
Fuente de Cantos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Estrella Fuente de Cantos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fuente de Cantos conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.
La Estrella scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Fuente de Cantos registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Fuente de Cantos
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
La Estrella
(Home) 23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3 CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0 La Estrella
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23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3 CD Azuaga
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 Olivenza FC
19 Mar
La Estrella
2 : 0 Montehermoso
05 Mar
La Estrella
0 : 0 CD Calamonte
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Fuente de Cantos
(Away) 14 Aug
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 5 AD Llerenense
12 May
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 3 Jaraiz
05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0 Fuente de Cantos
27 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
0 : 0 CD Coria
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2 Fuente de Cantos
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05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0 Fuente de Cantos
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2 Fuente de Cantos
07 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
4 : 1 Fuente de Cantos
24 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 1 Fuente de Cantos
03 Mar
CD Diocesano
3 : 0 Fuente de Cantos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cacereno | 38 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 81:16 | 92 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 90:17 | 85 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 38 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 58:26 | 79 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 83:42 | 74 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 62:29 | 72 |
| 6 | Don Benito | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 62:26 | 68 |
| 7 | CD Calamonte | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 70:39 | 62 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59:56 | 59 |
| 9 | Moralo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:58 | 52 |
| 10 | Olivenza FC | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:54 | 47 |
| 11 | Montijo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:59 | 43 |
| 12 | CP Amanecer | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 13 | Extremadura UD B | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 49:55 | 40 |
| 14 | CP Valdivia | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:63 | 39 |
| 15 | Arroyo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 31:64 | 37 |
| 16 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 34:82 | 36 |
| 17 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 34:64 | 35 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 42:69 | 34 |
| 19 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 34:95 | 24 |
| 20 | La Estrella | 38 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 34:79 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
