Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fiorita vs AC Libertas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita host AC Libertas in the Campionato Sammarinese. This one's hard to separate. AC Libertas have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while La Fiorita have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, La Fiorita have won 3 to AC Libertas's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.19) point toward La Fiorita. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
La Fiorita
35%
Draws
28%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • La Fiorita have won more games recently than AC Libertas.
  • Win probability leans La Fiorita's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 20%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita AC Libertas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs AC Libertas
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs AC Libertas
6:0
Oct 26, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs La Fiorita
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 67 / 100
AC Libertas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Libertas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

La Fiorita went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

La Fiorita's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS AC Libertas
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fiorita

(Home)
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7

AC Libertas

(Away)
09 Oct
Cailungo
1 : 2
AC Libertas
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)