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La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Zavoli D.
13' Event
Errico S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
La Fiorita
35%
Draws
12%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Fiorita lately — more wins on the board than San Marino Academy U22.
  • Win probability leans La Fiorita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Fiorita have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 20%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.55 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy U22
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs La Fiorita
0:5
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy U22
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs La Fiorita
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Errico S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavoli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 85 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita San Marino Academy U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marino Academy U22 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

La Fiorita went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

La Fiorita's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS San Marino Academy U22
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fiorita

(Home)
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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San Marino Academy U22

(Away)
11 Oct
Virtus
5 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Fiori 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
3 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
4 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 Fiorentino 5 2 1 2 10:5 7
8 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
9 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 5 0 2 3 1:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)