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Stadium Background

La Gineta vs Alcazar Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Gineta in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Gineta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Gineta
20%
Draws
40%
Alcazar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Gineta have won more games recently than Alcazar.
  • Model gives La Gineta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Gineta have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Alcazar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.09 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
4:0
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs La Gineta
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
1:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs La Gineta
1:2
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Alcazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcazar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

La Gineta found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Alcazar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Gineta VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
Page 1 of 7

Alcazar

(Away)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)